Fact check AI predictions

Anyone can make predictions, few remember them, we check them

Anyone can make predictions, few remember them, we check them

Predictions checker

Predictions checker

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Fact check them ↓

(Soon) Results of predictions

(Soon) Results of predictions

Future Predictions

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2025

2025

“My guess is that we’ll have AI that is smarter than any one human probably around the end of next year,”

Predicated by Elon Musk on this article

“My guess is that we’ll have AI that is smarter than any one human probably around the end of next year,”

Predicated by Elon Musk on this article

2026

2026

"AI systems that can generate novel insights"

Predicated by Sam Altman on this article

"AI systems that can generate novel insights"

Predicated by Sam Altman on this article

“It is my guess that by 2026 or 2027, we will have AI systems that are broadly better than almost all humans at almost all things.”

Predicated by Dario Amodei during a Davos panel titled “Technology in the World,”

2027

2027

"AGI for everyone."
"Anything in a computer will be automated."
"Its almost a fetich to hire a human to do something on a computer, there is no need for it."

Predicated by Dr. Roman Yampolskiy on podcast

"AGI for everyone."
"Anything in a computer will be automated."
"Its almost a fetich to hire a human to do something on a computer, there is no need for it."

Predicated by Dr. Roman Yampolskiy on podcast

2027 may see the arrival of robots that can complete tasks in the real world.

Predicated by Sam Altman on this article

2027 may see the arrival of robots that can complete tasks in the real world.

Predicated by Sam Altman on this article

2027

2027

AI reaching human-level intelligence


Predicated by Ray Kurzweil on this article

AI reaching human-level intelligence


Predicated by Ray Kurzweil on this article

2030

2030

"Humanoid Robots, with enough flexibility to compute with humans in all domains, including plumers"

Predicated by Dr. Roman Yampolskiy on podcast

"Humanoid Robots, with enough flexibility to compute with humans in all domains, including plumers"

Predicated by Dr. Roman Yampolskiy on podcast

"In the next 5/10 years from now there is a 50% chance we will have AGI"
"AGI will have all the human capabilities"
"People will be 10x more productive"

Predicated by Demis Hassabis on this interview

"In the next 5/10 years from now there is a 50% chance we will have AGI"
"AGI will have all the human capabilities"
"People will be 10x more productive"

Predicated by Demis Hassabis on this interview

“intelligence and energy — ideas, and the ability to make ideas happen — are going to become wildly abundant.”

Predicated by Sam Altman on this article

“intelligence and energy — ideas, and the ability to make ideas happen — are going to become wildly abundant.”

Predicated by Sam Altman on this article

2035

2035

"AGI will arrive between 10/20 years from now (2025)"

Predicated by Geoffrey Hinton on podcast

"AGI will arrive between 10/20 years from now (2025)"

Predicated by Geoffrey Hinton on podcast

2035

2035

Technological singularity—merging humans and AI


Predicated by Ray Kurzweil on this article

Technological singularity—merging humans and AI


Predicated by Ray Kurzweil on this article

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